TORONTO, Aug. 20, 2012 /PRNewswire/ - Harry Winston Diamond Corporation
(TSX:HW) (NYSE:HWD) (the "Company") is pleased to release an updated
life-of-mine plan for the Diavik Diamond Mine, including current
estimates for anticipated annual production by pipe, with associated
operating costs, and capital costs through 2023. The life-of-mine plan
includes a detailed cash flow model based on the Company's estimates of
future rough diamond revenue. Unless otherwise specified, all financial
information is presented in Canadian dollars, on a 100% basis, and
references to years are to calendar years.
The further development of the underground mine has given the joint
venture partners an increased understanding of future production
levels, the best mining methodology, and better clarity on cost
structures. This updated mine plan assumes, among other things, the
development of the A-21 diamond pipe, which is subject to a step-wise
approval process by the joint venture partners. The first step of a
detailed preliminary assessment and advanced engineering has been
completed. The next step, being final feasibility and completion of
engineering has been approved for a budget of $5.8 million in the
current calendar year. This will be followed by the crushing and
screening of the required rock products for berm construction using
existing infrastructure at a cost of approximately $46 million with
approval by the joint venture partners to be sought at the end of this
year. The final approval would be for berm and cut-off wall
construction as well as pit development and pre-stripping to deliver
ore in 2017. The total A-21 budget is approximately $500 million not
including the feasibility phase of $5.8 million.
Using a real discount rate of 7% and real diamond price escalation of 2%
per annum, the Company's assessment of this updated life-of-mine plan
gives an estimated net present value ("NPV") of approximately $2.6
billion for 100% of the Diavik Diamond Mine (including all reserves and
resources), or approximately $2.1 billion for 100% of the Diavik
Diamond Mine, based only on proven and probable reserves. The Company
owns a 40% interest in the Diavik Diamond Mine, which equates to an
estimated NPV for its interest of approximately $1.0 billion including
all reserves and resources and approximately $0.8 billion, based only
on proven and probable reserves. The inferred resources included in the
above estimate are principally from the A-154 North kimberlite pipe.
The Company believes that the A-154 North resources are likely to be
promoted to reserves when the current drilling programme is completed
later in 2012. The resources from the A-21 pipe that are included in
the mine plan are currently categorized as measured. The Company
believes these A-21 resources would be promoted to reserve status with
the completion of the development approval process. No decision has yet
been made to develop the A-21 pipe, and there can be no assurance that
inferred resources from A-154 North will be promoted to reserves.
Inferred mineral resources are considered too geologically speculative
to have the economic considerations applied to them that would enable
them to be categorized as mineral reserves, and there is no certainty
that preliminary estimated values from the inferred resources will be
achieved. Mineral resources that are not mineral reserves do not have
demonstrated economic viability.
Information included herein that is not current or historical factual
information, including information about estimated mine life, plans to
mine the A-21 pipe and other plans regarding mining activities at the
Diavik Diamond Mine, estimated reserves and resources at, and
production from, the Diavik Diamond Mine, projected capital and
operating costs, future diamond prices, and the estimated value of the
Diavik Diamond Mine, may constitute forward-looking information or
statements within the meaning of applicable securities laws.
Forward-looking information is based on certain factors and assumptions
regarding, among other things, mining, production, construction and
exploration activities at the Diavik Diamond Mine, mining methods,
currency exchange rates, required operating and capital costs, labour
and fuel costs, world and US economic conditions, future diamond
prices, and the level of worldwide diamond production. Actual results
may vary from the forward-looking information. While the Company
considers these assumptions to be reasonable based on the information
currently available to it, they may prove to be incorrect.
Forward-looking information is subject to certain factors, including
risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results to differ
materially from what we currently expect. These factors include, among
other things, the uncertain nature of mining activities, including
risks associated with underground construction and mining operations,
risks associated with joint venture operations, including risks
associated with the inability to control the timing and scope of future
capital expenditures, risks that the operator for the Diavik Diamond
Mine may decide not to proceed with mining the A-21 pipe or may
otherwise change the mine plan, risks associated with the location of
and harsh climate at the Diavik Diamond Mine site, fluctuations in
diamond prices and changes in US and world economic conditions, risks
relating to the price of fuel and the availability and cost of labour
for the Diavik Diamond Mine, the risk of fluctuations in the
Canadian/US dollar exchange rate, as well as risks associated with
regulatory requirements. Readers are cautioned not to place undue
importance on forward-looking information, which speaks only as of the
date of this disclosure, and should not rely upon this information as
of any other date. While the Company may elect to, it is under no
obligation and does not undertake to, update or revise any
forward-looking information, whether as a result of new information,
further events or otherwise at any particular time, except as required
by law. Additional information concerning factors that may cause actual
results to materially differ from those in such forward-looking
statements is contained in the Company's filings with Canadian and
United States securities regulatory authorities and can be found at www.sedar.com and www.sec.gov, respectively.
About Harry Winston Diamond Corporation
Harry Winston Diamond Corporation is a diamond enterprise with premium
assets in the mining and retail segments of the diamond industry. Harry
Winston supplies rough diamonds to the global market from its 40
percent ownership interest in the Diavik Diamond Mine. The Company's
luxury brand segment is a premier diamond jeweler and luxury timepiece
retailer with salons in key locations, including New York, Paris,
London, Beijing, Shanghai, Hong Kong, Singapore, Tokyo and Beverly
Hills.
The Company focuses on the two most profitable segments of the diamond
industry, mining and retail, in which its expertise creates shareholder
value. This unique business model provides key competitive advantages;
rough diamond sales and polished diamond purchases provide market
intelligence that enhances the Company's overall performance.
For more information, please visit www.harrywinston.com or for investor information, visit http://investor.harrywinston.com.
2012 Life-of-Mine Plan for Diavik Diamond Mine
INTRODUCTION
Harry Winston Diamond Corporation (the "Company") is a diamond
enterprise with premium assets in the mining and retailing segments of
the diamond industry. The Company supplies rough diamonds to the global
market from its 40% ownership interest in the Diavik Diamond Mine,
located approximately 300 km northeast of Yellowknife in the Canada's
Northwest Territories. The mine is an unincorporated joint arrangement
(the "Diavik Joint Venture") between Diavik Diamond Mines Inc. ("DDMI")
(60%) and Harry Winston Diamond Limited Partnership ("HWDLP") (40%)
where HWDLP holds an undivided 40% ownership interest in the assets,
liabilities and expenses of the Diavik Diamond Mine. DDMI is the
operator of the Diavik Diamond Mine. DDMI and HWDLP are headquartered
in Yellowknife, Canada. DDMI is a wholly owned subsidiary of Rio Tinto
plc ("Rio Tinto") of London, England.
The Diavik Diamond Mine has been in production since 2003. To December
31, 2011, the Diavik Diamond Mine has produced approximately 69 million
carats of diamonds from the processing of approximately 18 million tonnes of kimberlite. This updated life-of-mine plan uses
information prepared by both DDMI and the Company: all reserve and
resource information, ore mining schedules, capital costs, operating
costs, and reclamation costs, have been provided to the Company by
DDMI; all revenues, marketing costs and tax costs are based on the
Company's own estimates.
The reserve and resource information set out in this updated
life-of-mine plan was prepared by or under the supervision of Calvin G.
Yip, P. Eng., an employee of DDMI and a Qualified Person within the
meaning of National Instrument 43-101. All other scientific and
technical information set out in this updated life-of-mine plan was
prepared by or under the supervision of Mats Heimersson, P. Eng., an
employee of the Company and a Qualified Person within the meaning of
National Instrument 43-101.
Unless otherwise specified, all financial information is presented in
Canadian dollars, on a 100% basis, and references to years are to
calendar years.
CAPITAL AND OPERATING COST ESTIMATES
The initial capital to build the Diavik Diamond Mine was spent between
late 1999 and early 2003. Construction was completed under budget and
ahead of schedule.
From 2004 to the end of 2011, capital expenditures were for sustaining
the operation and for carrying out planned mine developments.
Sustaining capital included scheduled processed kimberlite containment
("PKC") dam raises, improvements to the processing plant, planned
additions to the mine equipment fleet, rotating replacements of light
vehicles, geology drilling, purchase of critical spares, and general
improvements across the operations. Mine development capital included
the A-418 dike, A-154 & A-418 underground decline, the A-21 decline,
underground test mining and bulk sampling of kimberlite, a number of
studies leading up to the present mine development plan, and some
pre-works construction for the new developments and underground
construction.
Table 1 shows currently estimated sustaining and mine development
capital from 2012 onward. The costs shown include estimated
contingencies where applicable, but do not include any escalation or
risk contingency amounts for unforeseen events. In addition to ongoing
equipment replacements and general operational upgrades, sustaining
capital will include certain categories of ongoing underground
excavation to maintain mining advances to increasing depths.
Table 1 also shows currently estimated operating costs based on DDMI's
operating experience, adjusted to present-day dollar terms. Given the
remote location of the Diavik Diamond Mine, a large portion of the
operating expenditure is relatively fixed, with the major cost items
being human resources and fuel (for both power and equipment).
Table 1 includes costs associated with the development of the A-21 pipe.
The total current estimated capital cost of developing the A-21 pipe is
$514 million, which includes the construction of access roads, the
building of a dike, dewatering and pre stripping to prepare the pit for
production and contingency.
Not shown in Table 1 are marketing costs, private royalties and
estimated reclamation costs. These are included separately in the
economic analyses set out below. The reclamation costs are based on a
DDMI closure cost model that is considered to be equal to or better
than others used in the industry.
|
Table 1 Capital and Operating Costs - Diavik Diamond Mine (100% Basis)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CAPITAL COSTS
|
OPERATING COSTS
|
|
Developing
|
Sustaining
|
Total
|
Direct and Indirect
|
|
$Millions
|
$Millions
|
$Millions
|
$Millions
|
|
2012
|
50
|
145
|
195
|
433
|
|
2013
|
60
|
41
|
101
|
430
|
|
2014
|
148
|
35
|
183
|
423
|
|
2015
|
154
|
29
|
183
|
422
|
|
2016
|
131
|
20
|
150
|
417
|
|
2017
|
42
|
33
|
75
|
484
|
|
2018
|
-
|
13
|
13
|
474
|
|
2019
|
-
|
16
|
16
|
457
|
|
2020
|
-
|
17
|
17
|
435
|
|
2021
|
-
|
17
|
17
|
434
|
|
2022
|
-
|
5
|
5
|
347
|
|
2023
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
333
|
|
Totals
|
584
|
371
|
955
|
5,089
|
Note: Total may not add up due to rounding.
RESERVES AND RESOURCES
The current ore reserves of the Diavik Diamond Mine have been updated at
December 31, 2011. On a tonnage basis, there has been an increase from
the December 31, 2010 ore reserves of 17% (22% on a carat basis) and a
decrease due to mining and adjustments during 2011 of 12% (11% on a
carat basis) resulting in a net gain of 5% during 2011 (11% on a carat
basis).
The A-418 kimberlite pipe total reserve increased by 3.1 million tonnes
following last year's deep drilling campaign. Of this, 0.7 million
tonnes which was previously in the resource category has been promoted
to reserve status. The additional increase of 2.4 million tonnes of
reserve came from new areas of the pipe. The processing of samples from
the deep drilling on A-154 North kimberlite pipe is planned for 2012,
with the results expected to be incorporated into the December 31, 2012
reserve and resource report.
Table 2 below summarizes the mineral reserves and mineral resources at
the Diavik Diamond Mine as at the end of December 31, 2011 expressed in
millions of tonnes, carats per tonne, and millions of carats. The
mineral reserves set out below account for all depletions due to
production and sampling to the end of December 31, 2011, and the
increase in the reserves of A-418 described above. During 2011 there
have been almost no changes in the ore reserves in A-154 South and
A-154 North except for depletion due to mining.
The A-21 pipe is not included in the ore reserves but is instead
entirely a resource. The current plans are to mine the A-21 pipe with
the open pit methods used for the other pipes (assuming a favourable
production decision on A-21). In addition to the reserves, 2.2 million
tonnes of inferred resources from A-154 North are also included in the
current mine plan, as it is believed that these are likely to be
promoted to reserves when the current drilling programme is completed
later in 2012.
|
Table 2 Mineral Reserves at Diavik Diamond Mine - December 31, 2011
|
|
|
|
PROVEN RESERVES
|
|
PROBABLE RESERVES
|
|
PROVEN and
PROBABLE
|
|
|
M t
|
|
ct/t
|
|
M ct
|
|
M t
|
|
ct/t
|
|
M ct
|
|
M t
|
|
ct/t
|
|
M ct
|
|
A-154S
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Open Pit
Underground
Total A-154S
|
|
--
1.6
1.6
|
|
--
4.0
4.0
|
|
--
6.3
6.3
|
|
--
1.4
1.4
|
|
--
3.4
3.4
|
|
--
4.7
4.7
|
|
--
2.9
2.9
|
|
--
3.7
3.7
|
|
--
10.9
10.9
|
|
A-154N
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Open Pit
Underground
Total A-154N
|
|
--
3.1
3.1
|
|
--
2.3
2.3
|
|
--
7.1
7.1
|
|
--
4.9
4.9
|
|
--
2.2
2.2
|
|
--
10.7
10.7
|
|
--
8.0
8.0
|
|
--
2.2
2.2
|
|
--
17.8
17.8
|
|
A-418
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Open Pit
Underground
Total A-418
|
|
0.7
--
0.7
|
|
4.0
--
4.0
|
|
2.8
--
2.8
|
|
0.6
6.7
7.3
|
|
3.8
3.8
3.8
|
|
2.3
25.1
27.4
|
|
1.3
6.7
8.0
|
|
3.9
3.8
3.8
|
|
5.0
25.1
30.2
|
|
TOTAL
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Open Pit
Underground
Total Reserves
|
|
0.7
4.7
5.4
|
|
4.0
2.8
3.0
|
|
2.8
13.3
16.1
|
|
0.6
12.9
13.5
|
|
3.8
3.1
3.2
|
|
2.3
40.5
42.8
|
|
1.3
17.6
18.9
|
|
3.9
3.1
3.1
|
|
5.0
53.8
58.9
|
|
|
Note: Totals may not add up due to rounding.
|
The mineral resources have reasonable potential to be mined but do not
have mining losses and/or dilution applied at this time, and as such
they represent in situ values. Mineral resources that are not mineral
reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability.
|
Mineral Resources at Diavik Diamond Mine - December 31, 2011
|
|
|
|
MEASURED
|
|
INDICATED
|
|
INFERRED
|
|
|
M t
|
|
ct/t
|
|
M ct
|
|
M t
|
|
ct/t
|
|
M ct
|
|
M t
|
|
ct/t
|
|
M ct
|
|
A-154S
|
|
--
|
|
--
|
|
--
|
|
--
|
|
--
|
|
--
|
|
0.04
|
|
3.5
|
|
0.1
|
|
A-154N
|
|
--
|
|
--
|
|
--
|
|
--
|
|
--
|
|
--
|
|
2.2
|
|
2.4
|
|
5.3
|
|
A-418
|
|
--
|
|
--
|
|
--
|
|
--
|
|
--
|
|
--
|
|
0.3
|
|
2.7
|
|
0.8
|
|
A-21
|
|
3.6
|
|
2.8
|
|
10.0
|
|
0.4
|
|
2.6
|
|
1.0
|
|
0.8
|
|
3.0
|
|
2.3
|
|
TOTALS
|
|
3.6
|
|
2.8
|
|
10.0
|
|
0.4
|
|
2.6
|
|
1.0
|
|
3.3
|
|
2.6
|
|
8.5
|
|
|
Note: Totals may not add up due to rounding.
|
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
Tables 4 and 5 show cash flow models depicting the mine economics on a
100% basis based on information prepared by management of DDMI and the
Company. Table 4 represents a cash flow model as representative of the
currently expected life-of-mine plan. This model includes proven and
probable reserves as well as some indicated, measured, and inferred
mineral resources. The inferred resources included in this model are
principally from A-154 North. The Company believes that the A-154 North
resources are likely to be promoted to reserves when the current
drilling program is completed later in 2012. Resources from the A-21
pipe that are included in the mine plan are categorized as measured.
The Company believes that the A-21 resource would be promoted to
reserve status with the completion of the development approval process.
No decision has yet been made to develop the A-21 pipe, and there can
be no assurance that inferred resources from A-154 North will be
promoted to reserves. Inferred mineral resources are considered too
geologically speculative to have the economic considerations applied to
them that would enable them to be categorized as mineral reserves.
Mineral resources that are not mineral reserves do not have
demonstrated economic viability. Table 5 represents a cash flow model
based only on proven and probable reserves, and is presented solely to
indicate the economic viability of the operation and it is not a
forecast of expected future cash flows.
The production forecasts in Tables 4 and 5 are derived from DDMI's
estimates, based on the current reserve and resources as of December
31, 2011. The capital, reclamation and operating costs that are shown
in Table 1 are also based on DDMI's estimates with the Company having
applied its own economic factors, such as exchange rates. Included in
the mine's carat production are diamonds that are recovered from
reprocessed plant rejects ("RPR") and an improved recovery process for
small diamonds. These RPR and small diamonds recoveries are not
included in the Company's reserves and resource statement and are
therefore incremental to production.
The Company sorts its rough diamonds in Toronto, Canada and Mumbai,
India and then distributes the resulting sales parcels to its Belgium
and Indian subsidiaries for sale. For simplicity the models assume that
all diamonds are sold in the year of production. Based on the Company's
current approximate annual cost for this marketing process of $12
million, the models assume a cost of $30 million per annum for
marketing 100% of the production.
The model is shown on an annualised basis starting in calendar 2012 and
it does not include rough diamond stocks at the mine at the opening of
the year. In addition, the model does not take into account any rough
diamond inventory available for sale that the Company held at the end
of its January 31, 2012 financial year.
Using the prices from the Company's December 2011 rough diamond sale and
the current diamond recovery profile of the Diavik processing plant,
the Company has modeled the approximate rough diamond price per carat
for each of the Diavik ore types, shown in Table 3. The quality of the
diamonds in the A-21 pipe is estimated by the Company to be similar to
those from A-154 South, which were priced at an average of US $165 per
carat as at December 2011, and consequently the Company has used this
price in modeling the A-21 estimated production. For the purposes of
this model it has been assumed that there is a 2% per annum real price
growth during the life of the mine excluding the current year in which
pricing is assumed to be flat.
Table 3 Average price per carat (in US dollars)
|
Ore type
|
Average price per
carat (in US dollars)
|
|
A-154 South
|
$165
|
|
A-154 North
|
$215
|
|
A-418 (Mix)
|
$115
|
|
A-21
|
$165
|
|
RPR
|
$55
|
For this exercise it is assumed that Canadian mining taxation principles
can be applied to the Diavik Diamond Mine as a stand-alone entity. This
is not actually the case because each of the Diavik Joint Venture
participants is responsible for its own taxes. As a simplifying
assumption for the taxation impacts on capital, since the Diavik
Diamond Mine is in production, the capital is considered to qualify for
capital cost allowance (rather than Canadian exploration expense)
involving deductions made on a rolling capital pool with certain
capital categories eligible for accelerated deductions. The calculation
of Northwest Territories mining royalties is based on a graduated scale
of charges based on revenues. The tax amounts in the analysis are based
on general modeling, and are not intended to reflect the tax position
of DDMI, HWDLP or the Company.
HWDLP is subject to taxes in various jurisdictions as a result of being
a participant in the Diavik Joint Venture that operates the Diavik
Diamond Mine. These include income and property taxes, government
royalties in the Northwest Territories and Canadian federal income
taxes. Taxes are included in the cash flow models of the Diavik Diamond
Mine in Tables 4 and 5, and are presented solely to demonstrate the
economic viability of the Diavik Diamond Mine operation, and are not a
forecast of DDMI's, the Company's or HWDLP's tax position.
Table 4: Expected Life of Mine cash flow model
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Table 4: Cash Flow Model for Diavik Diamond Mine Joint Venture (100%
Basis).
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Item
|
|
TOTALS
|
2012
|
2013
|
2014
|
2015
|
2016
|
2017
|
2018
|
2019
|
2020
|
2021
|
2022
|
2023
|
2024
|
2025
|
2026
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Waste Mined
|
M T
|
21.70
|
0.09
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
6.39
|
5.10
|
3.11
|
2.60
|
2.60
|
1.30
|
0.50
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ore Mined
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
A154S
|
M T
|
2.98
|
0.37
|
0.45
|
0.37
|
0.38
|
0.36
|
0.39
|
0.31
|
0.34
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
A154N
|
M T
|
10.17
|
0.45
|
0.70
|
0.73
|
0.74
|
0.74
|
0.84
|
0.87
|
0.82
|
1.33
|
1.34
|
1.07
|
0.55
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
A418
|
M T
|
8.17
|
1.35
|
0.65
|
0.70
|
0.68
|
0.70
|
0.58
|
0.62
|
0.65
|
0.48
|
0.46
|
0.43
|
0.88
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
A21
|
M T
|
3.51
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
0.40
|
0.40
|
0.39
|
0.40
|
0.40
|
0.70
|
0.83
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Total Ore
|
|
24.83
|
2.17
|
1.80
|
1.80
|
1.80
|
1.81
|
2.20
|
2.20
|
2.20
|
2.20
|
2.20
|
2.20
|
2.25
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ore Grade
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
A154S
|
Cts / T
|
3.68
|
3.98
|
4.00
|
3.64
|
3.51
|
3.37
|
3.36
|
3.99
|
3.58
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
A154N
|
Cts / T
|
2.24
|
2.02
|
1.97
|
2.02
|
1.98
|
1.92
|
2.26
|
2.39
|
2.37
|
2.45
|
2.41
|
2.39
|
2.21
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
A418
|
Cts / T
|
3.67
|
3.63
|
3.63
|
3.57
|
3.79
|
4.11
|
3.86
|
3.79
|
3.61
|
3.52
|
3.48
|
3.47
|
3.47
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
A21
|
Cts / T
|
2.76
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
2.93
|
3.29
|
3.35
|
2.66
|
2.53
|
2.64
|
2.41
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Processing
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mined Ore Tonnes Processed
|
M T
|
24.83
|
2.17
|
1.80
|
1.80
|
1.80
|
1.81
|
2.20
|
2.20
|
2.20
|
2.20
|
2.20
|
2.20
|
2.25
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Carats Recovered from Mined Ore
|
M cts
|
73.44
|
7.28
|
5.54
|
5.33
|
5.39
|
5.53
|
6.59
|
6.99
|
6.81
|
5.99
|
5.85
|
5.90
|
6.25
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Additional SDP Carats
|
M cts
|
2.92
|
0.09
|
0.32
|
0.31
|
0.31
|
0.32
|
0.29
|
0.30
|
0.30
|
0.29
|
0.28
|
0.09
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Additional RPR Carats
|
M cts
|
1.69
|
0.85
|
0.58
|
0.26
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Total Carats Recovered
|
M cts
|
78.05
|
8.22
|
6.45
|
5.89
|
5.70
|
5.85
|
6.88
|
7.28
|
7.11
|
6.29
|
6.13
|
5.99
|
6.25
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Revenue
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average Price1
|
US$ / ct
|
|
128.03
|
144.91
|
151.64
|
158.32
|
158.65
|
174.33
|
178.63
|
180.78
|
202.02
|
207.07
|
210.10
|
186.86
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Exchange Rate2
|
US$ / C$
|
|
1.00
|
1.00
|
1.00
|
1.00
|
1.00
|
1.00
|
1.00
|
1.00
|
1.00
|
1.00
|
1.00
|
1.00
|
1.00
|
1.00
|
1.00
|
|
|
Cash Inflow
|
C$ M
|
13,464
|
1,053
|
935
|
893
|
902
|
928
|
1,200
|
1,301
|
1,285
|
1,270
|
1,269
|
1,259
|
1,169
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Costs
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Development Capital
|
C$ M
|
584
|
50
|
60
|
148
|
154
|
131
|
42
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Sustaining Capital
|
C$ M
|
371
|
145
|
41
|
35
|
29
|
20
|
33
|
13
|
16
|
17
|
17
|
5
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Total Operating Costs
|
C$ M
|
5,089
|
433
|
430
|
423
|
422
|
417
|
484
|
474
|
457
|
435
|
434
|
347
|
333
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Reclamation Costs
|
C$ M
|
149
|
-
|
3
|
1
|
1
|
8
|
8
|
2
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
47
|
64
|
6
|
8
|
|
|
Marketing Costs3
|
C$ M
|
360
|
30
|
30
|
30
|
30
|
30
|
30
|
30
|
30
|
30
|
30
|
30
|
30
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Private Royalties (2% of Revenue)
|
C$ M
|
269
|
21
|
19
|
18
|
18
|
19
|
24
|
26
|
26
|
25
|
25
|
25
|
23
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Increase (decrease) in Working Capital
|
C$ M
|
(79)
|
11
|
4
|
3
|
0
|
0
|
10
|
9
|
(3)
|
(5)
|
1
|
(20)
|
(10)
|
(88)
|
10
|
(0)
|
|
|
Cash Outflow
|
|
6,743
|
690
|
586
|
657
|
654
|
624
|
631
|
554
|
525
|
503
|
508
|
388
|
424
|
(23)
|
16
|
8
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Cash Flow before Taxes
|
|
6,721
|
363
|
349
|
236
|
248
|
304
|
568
|
747
|
761
|
768
|
762
|
871
|
744
|
23
|
(16)
|
(8)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tax4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Territorial Taxation (13% of pre tax FCF)
|
C$ M
|
874
|
49
|
46
|
31
|
32
|
40
|
75
|
98
|
98
|
99
|
99
|
111
|
96
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Federal Taxation (26.5% of post royalty FCF)
|
C$ M
|
1,549
|
86
|
81
|
55
|
57
|
70
|
133
|
174
|
175
|
176
|
176
|
196
|
169
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash Flow
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Revenue less Costs
|
C$ M
|
4,298
|
228
|
222
|
150
|
159
|
194
|
360
|
474
|
488
|
493
|
487
|
565
|
480
|
23
|
(16)
|
(8)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Present Value at 7% discount rate
|
C$ M
|
2,605
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1)
|
Value by pipe weighted by production from each pipe. 2% real compound
annual growth applied over time in the model beginning in 2013.
|
|
(2)
|
Assumes a constant parity rate through life of mine.
|
|
(3)
|
Marketing costs based on the Company's current rough diamond sorting and
sales costs for 40% of the production, grossed up to 100%.
|
|
(4)
|
Tax calcuation illustrative.
|
Table 5: Reserves only cash flow model
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Table 5: Cash Flow Model for Diavik Diamond Mine Joint Venture (100%
Basis). RESERVES ONLY
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Item
|
|
TOTALS
|
|
2012
|
2013
|
2014
|
2015
|
2016
|
2017
|
2018
|
2019
|
2020
|
2021
|
2022
|
2023
|
2024
|
2025
|
2026
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Waste Mined
|
M T
|
0.09
|
|
0.09
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ore Mined
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
A154S
|
M T
|
2.94
|
|
0.37
|
0.45
|
0.37
|
0.38
|
0.36
|
0.39
|
0.30
|
0.31
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
A154N
|
M T
|
7.98
|
|
0.45
|
0.70
|
0.73
|
0.74
|
0.74
|
0.84
|
0.87
|
0.85
|
0.90
|
0.81
|
0.37
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
A418
|
M T
|
7.88
|
|
1.35
|
0.65
|
0.70
|
0.69
|
0.70
|
0.58
|
0.62
|
0.65
|
0.48
|
0.46
|
0.99
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
A21
|
M T
|
-
|
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Total Ore
|
|
18.80
|
|
2.17
|
1.80
|
1.80
|
1.81
|
1.81
|
1.80
|
1.79
|
1.81
|
1.37
|
1.27
|
1.36
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ore Grade
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
A154S
|
Cts / T
|
3.70
|
|
3.98
|
4.00
|
3.64
|
3.51
|
3.37
|
3.36
|
4.03
|
3.76
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
A154N
|
Cts / T
|
2.21
|
|
2.02
|
1.97
|
2.02
|
1.98
|
1.92
|
2.28
|
2.33
|
2.39
|
2.44
|
2.40
|
2.51
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
A418
|
Cts / T
|
3.69
|
|
3.63
|
3.63
|
3.55
|
3.73
|
4.09
|
4.13
|
4.06
|
3.88
|
3.79
|
3.75
|
2.88
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
A21
|
Cts / T
|
-
|
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Processing
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mined Ore Tonnes Processed
|
M T
|
18.80
|
|
2.17
|
1.80
|
1.80
|
1.81
|
1.81
|
1.80
|
1.79
|
1.81
|
1.37
|
1.27
|
1.36
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Carats Recovered from Mined Ore
|
M cts
|
57.58
|
|
7.28
|
5.54
|
5.33
|
5.39
|
5.53
|
5.60
|
5.77
|
5.72
|
3.99
|
3.66
|
3.78
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Additional SDP Carats
|
M cts
|
2.92
|
|
0.09
|
0.32
|
0.31
|
0.31
|
0.32
|
0.29
|
0.30
|
0.30
|
0.29
|
0.28
|
0.09
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Additional RPR Carats
|
M cts
|
1.69
|
|
0.85
|
0.58
|
0.26
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Total Carats Recovered
|
M cts
|
62.19
|
|
8.22
|
6.45
|
5.89
|
5.70
|
5.85
|
5.89
|
6.06
|
6.02
|
4.28
|
3.94
|
3.87
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Revenue
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average Price1
|
US$ / ct
|
|
|
128.03
|
144.91
|
151.64
|
158.32
|
158.65
|
171.77
|
175.11
|
178.36
|
189.68
|
190.87
|
167.38
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Exchange Rate2
|
US$ / C$
|
|
|
1.00
|
1.00
|
1.00
|
1.00
|
1.00
|
1.00
|
1.00
|
1.00
|
1.00
|
1.00
|
1.00
|
1.00
|
1.00
|
1.00
|
1.00
|
|
|
Cash Inflow
|
C$ M
|
10,072
|
|
1,053
|
935
|
893
|
902
|
928
|
1,012
|
1,062
|
1,074
|
813
|
753
|
648
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Costs
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Development Capital
|
C$ M
|
71
|
|
49
|
16
|
4
|
2
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Sustaining Capital
|
C$ M
|
334
|
|
145
|
41
|
35
|
29
|
20
|
16
|
10
|
16
|
8
|
9
|
6
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Total Operating Costs
|
C$ M
|
4,265
|
|
429
|
430
|
423
|
422
|
417
|
416
|
416
|
417
|
305
|
293
|
298
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Reclamation Costs
|
C$ M
|
163
|
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
61
|
73
|
20
|
8
|
-
|
|
|
Marketing Costs3
|
C$ M
|
330
|
|
30
|
30
|
30
|
30
|
30
|
30
|
30
|
30
|
30
|
30
|
30
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Private Royalties (2% of Revenue)
|
C$ M
|
201
|
|
21
|
19
|
18
|
18
|
19
|
20
|
21
|
21
|
16
|
15
|
13
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Increase (decrease) in Working Capital
|
C$ M
|
(79)
|
|
11
|
4
|
3
|
0
|
0
|
3
|
2
|
0
|
(27)
|
(2)
|
(7)
|
(78)
|
9
|
2
|
1
|
|
|
Cash Outflow
|
|
5,285
|
|
686
|
539
|
512
|
501
|
485
|
485
|
479
|
485
|
333
|
344
|
401
|
(5)
|
29
|
10
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Cash Flow before Taxes
|
|
4,786
|
|
367
|
396
|
382
|
402
|
442
|
526
|
583
|
590
|
480
|
408
|
247
|
5
|
(29)
|
(10)
|
(1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tax4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Territorial Taxation (13% of pre tax FCF)
|
C$ M
|
625
|
|
49
|
52
|
50
|
52
|
58
|
69
|
76
|
77
|
59
|
53
|
31
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Federal Taxation (26.5% of post royalty FCF)
|
C$ M
|
1,109
|
|
87
|
92
|
89
|
93
|
102
|
122
|
135
|
136
|
104
|
94
|
55
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash Flow
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Revenue less Costs
|
C$ M
|
3,053
|
|
231
|
252
|
243
|
257
|
283
|
336
|
372
|
377
|
316
|
262
|
161
|
5
|
(29)
|
(10)
|
(1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Present Value at 7% discount rate
|
C$ M
|
2,073
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1)
|
Value by pipe weighted by production from each pipe. 2% real compound
annual growth applied over time in the model beginning in 2013.
|
|
(2)
|
Assumes a constant parity rate through life of mine.
|
|
(3)
|
Marketing costs based on the Company's current rough diamond sorting and
sales costs for 40% of the production, grossed up to 100%.
|
|
(4)
|
Tax calcuation illustrative.
|
As a further analysis, based on the expected life of mine cash flow
model, the sensitivity of the Diavik Diamond Mine to changes in various
parameters can be demonstrated. Net present value ("NPV") at a 7% real
discount rate is used as the indicator to see the impact of varying the
diamond prices, the grade, the capital costs, the operating costs and
the Canadian/US dollar exchange rate. For the variables in the
sensitivity analysis, a +/-10% change is applied. The impact on NPV
(for the expected life of mine cash flow model) of this level of
variance in selected variables is shown in Table 6.
|
Table 6: Sensitivity Analysis - Diavik Diamond Mine (100% Basis)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Parameter
|
Financial Sensitivity NPV ($Million)
|
|
- 10% Change
|
Base Case
|
+ 10% Change
|
|
Price
|
2,060
|
2,605
|
3,150
|
|
Grade
|
2,136
|
2,605
|
3,074
|
|
Capital Costs
|
2,653
|
2,605
|
2,557
|
|
Operating Costs
|
2,814
|
2,605
|
2,396
|
|
US$/C$ FX Rate
|
2,122
|
2,605
|
3,088
|
MINING METHODS
Early planning of the underground mining at the Diavik Diamond Mine
identified a number of possible mining methods. These mining methods
were ranked and two were selected as superior: Underhand Cut and Fill
("UCF") and Blast Hole Stoping ("BHS"). The strength of the kimberlites
vary and UCF is suited to weaker kimberlites whereas BHS is more
applicable to kimberlites of greater strength. Both these methods
planned to utilize cemented paste to fill the mined out areas.
The strength of the kimberlites vary considerably from pipe to pipe and
also within each pipe. Of the mined pipes the A-154 North pipe has the
highest strength followed by A-154 South and A-418. BHS opens up larger
voids underground than UCF and for that reason requires higher strength
than UCF. Although the early planning used a combination of methods,
BHS was selected as the main method for A-154 North and A-154 South,
and UCF the main method for A-418.
As the knowledge of the rock strength and behaviour increased it was
realized that UCF and some BHS could be replaced with a lower cost
mining method. Sub Level Retreat ("SLR") that does not require back
fill is now being used in the A-154 South pipe. Where BHS is still
employed, lower cost Cemented Rock Fill ("CRF") rather than cemented
paste fill is now used. Only minor modifications of the paste plant
were required to enable CRF to be produced. It also allowed sections of
the paste plant to be retired. In addition, the unused crushing
capacity allows the preparation of the products for the A-21 dike berm
without bringing additional crushing and screening equipment to site.
All the mining methods are mechanized utilizing highly productive large
scale underground drills, loaders, trucks and service machines.
Presently BHS is employed in the A-154 North pipe and SLR is utilized
in the A-154 South pipe. Underground mining in the A-418 pipe is in its
infancy (the open pit is expected to finish in September 2012) and SLR
will be employed. The cash flow models are based on the current best estimate of the
mining method and timing when each method is introduced, and this may
change in the future as DDMI are continually looking at improvements in
mining methods and cost reduction in general.
Figure 1 below schematically shows the two mining methods.
http://files.newswire.ca/1101/HW_Figure_1.pdf
A-21
As the other pipes at the Diavik Diamond Mine, A-21 is located below the
water of Lac de Gras. The pipe is smaller and has a lower grade than
the other mined pipes although the Company estimates the quality of the
diamonds to be similar to those from A-154 South, which was priced by
the Company at an average of US $165 per carat as at December 2011. The value per tonne of A-21 ore
would not be able to independently sustain the mine operation. However,
if mined together with the other pipes it has a positive NPV.
The current plan is to mine the A-21 pipe with the open pit methods used
for the other pipes. A dike would be constructed similar to the two
other pits but smaller in size. After dewatering, the open pit mining
operation would utilize similar equipment to that used in the other
pits although smaller 100 tonne trucks would be employed to reduce ramp
width and thus dike size. Detailed plans are still being refined and
optimized although no underground mining is being planned.
Assuming the step-wise joint venture approval of the A-21 project it is
expected that construction would start in 2013 and the first ore would
be produced early in 2017. The capital expenditure estimated at $514
million and the Company estimates that the project would deliver a NPV
at a 7% discount rate of approximately $260 million (on a 100% basis).
This value does not include $7.7 million due to synergies with the
close down scenario since some of the stripped material from the A-21
pit would be utilized for rehabilitation. No decision has yet been made
to develop the A-21 pipe.
MINE LIFE
It is currently expected that 2023 will be the final year of mining and
processing as illustrated in Table 4. This view is based on the
current knowledge of the A-154 South, A-154 North, A-418 and A-21
kimberlite pipes. These pipes do extend below the current inferred
resource horizons although additional economic ore may be limited in
volume and might not add longevity to the mine life.
Regional exploration efforts on present property holdings are ongoing.
Several dozen kimberlites have been found and many of them are
diamondiferous. Their consideration in future will involve additional
factors such as proximity to the Diavik Diamond Mine site, accessing
the island on which the Diavik facilities are located, and/or project
economics if a stand-alone operation is necessary. None of the
exploration activities have any impact whatsoever on the Diavik Diamond
Mine mineral resources and mineral reserves at this time, and are not
considered in this plan.
SOURCE Harry Winston Diamond Corporation
PDF available at: http://stream1.newswire.ca/media/2012/08/20/20120820_C4887_DOC_EN_16632.pdf