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Carnival Corporation & plc Reports Third Quarter Earnings
MIAMI, Sept 22, 2009 /PRNewswire-FirstCall via COMTEX/ -- Carnival Corporation & plc (NYSE/LSE: CCL; NYSE: CUK) reported net income of $1.1 billion, or $1.33 diluted EPS, on revenues of $4.1 billion for its third quarter ended August 31, 2009. Net income for the third quarter of 2008 was $1.3 billion, or $1.65 diluted EPS, on revenues of $4.8 billion.

Micky Arison, Carnival Corporation & plc Chairman and CEO, commenting on third quarter results said, "given the global economic environment earning more than $1 billion this quarter was quite an achievement and is a testament to the power of our global brands. Our net income for the quarter exceeded our previous guidance, as a result of better than expected pricing on close-in bookings worldwide during the seasonally strong summer period."

Key metrics for the third quarter of 2009 compared to the prior year were as follows:

  • On a constant dollar basis net revenue yields (net revenue per available lower berth day) decreased 12.3 percent for Q3 2009 which was better than our June guidance of down 14 to 16 percent. Net revenue yields in current dollars decreased 16.5 percent due to unfavorable currency exchange rates. Gross revenue yields in current dollars decreased 17.6 percent.
  • Excluding fuel, net cruise costs per available lower berth day ("ALBD") for Q3 2009 were 0.7 percent lower on a constant dollar basis. Excluding the impact of the $26 million insurance settlement received during the same period last year, net cruise costs per ALBD excluding fuel were 2.4 percent lower on a constant dollar basis.
  • Including fuel, net cruise costs per ALBD decreased 11.4 percent on a constant dollar basis (decreased 14.8 percent in current dollars). Gross cruise costs per ALBD decreased 17.1 percent in current dollars.
  • Fuel price decreased 39 percent to $405 per metric ton for Q3 2009 from $666 per metric ton in Q3 2008 and was in line with the June guidance of $406 per metric ton.


Since June, booking volumes for the remainder of 2009 and the first half of 2010 are running 19 percent ahead of the prior year. Although occupancy levels are catching up with last year they are still slightly behind, with ticket prices for these bookings also at lower levels.

"While the environment for travel remains challenging, we are encouraged by the strength we have had in booking volumes throughout the year. Consumers are responding to the attractive pricing and product offerings our brands have in the marketplace. We have begun to experience an extension in the booking window as consumers realize the best value by booking early. For consumers, the value proposition has never been greater than it is now, so prospective vacationers looking for the best price should act quickly," said Arison.

Based primarily on the strength in the third quarter, the company now expects full year net revenue yields, on a constant dollar basis, to decrease 10 percent, at the better end of its previous guidance range of down 10 to 12 percent. The company forecasts a 14 percent decline in net revenue yields on a current dollar basis for the full year 2009 compared to 2008 caused by unfavorable movements in currency exchange rates.

The company continues to expect net cruise costs excluding fuel for the full year 2009 to be in line with the prior year on a constant dollar basis. Based on current spot prices for fuel, forecasted fuel costs for the full year have increased $40 million since the previous guidance, costing $0.05 per share. This has been partially offset by favorable movements in currency exchange rates worth $0.03 per share.

Taking all the above factors into consideration, the company now forecasts full year 2009 earnings per share to be in the range of $2.16 to $2.20, compared to its previous guidance range of $2.00 to $2.10.

Fourth Quarter 2009

Fourth quarter constant dollar net revenue yields are expected to decline in the 11 to 13 percent range (down 9 to 11 percent on a current dollar basis). Net cruise costs excluding fuel, for the fourth quarter are expected to be down slightly compared to the prior year on a constant dollar basis.

Based on current fuel prices and currency exchange rates, the company expects earnings for the fourth quarter of 2009 to be in the range of $0.16 to $0.20 per share, down from $0.47 per share in 2008.

In June the company took delivery of Seabourn Odyssey, Seabourn's first newbuild in two decades. Just last week, the company took delivery of Carnival Cruise Lines' new flagship, the 3,652-passenger Carnival Dream, the lines' largest ship ever. Both are achieving significant premiums above other vessels in their respective brands.

Selected Key Forecast Metrics

                               Full Year 2009       Fourth Quarter 2009

                             Current   Constant     Current      Constant
                             Dollars   Dollars      Dollars       Dollars
    Change in:
    Net revenue yields         (14)%    (10) %    (9) to (11)%  (11) to (13)%
    Net cruise cost per ALBD   (12)%     (9) %    (2) to (4)%    (4) to (6)%

                                     Full Year 2009  Fourth Quarter 2009

    Fuel price per metric ton                   $365                $465
    Fuel consumption (metric tons in
     thousands)                                3,190                 830
         Euro                       $1.39 to (euro) 1      $1.46 to (euro) 1
         Sterling                   $1.57 to (pound) 1     $1.67 to (pound) 1

The company has scheduled a conference call with analysts at 10:00 a.m. EDT (3:00 p.m. BST) today to discuss its 2009 third quarter earnings. This call can be listened to live, and additional information can be obtained, via Carnival Corporation & plc's Web site at and

Carnival Corporation & plc is the largest cruise vacation group in the world, with a portfolio of cruise brands in North America, Europe and Australia, comprised of Carnival Cruise Lines, Holland America Line, Princess Cruises, The Yachts of Seabourn, AIDA Cruises, Costa Cruises, Cunard Line, Ibero Cruises, Ocean Village, P&O Cruises and P&O Cruises Australia.

Together, these brands operate 93 ships totaling more than 180,000 lower berths with 12 new ships scheduled to be delivered between January 2010 and May 2012. Carnival Corporation & plc also operates Holland America Tours and Princess Tours, the leading tour companies in Alaska and the Canadian Yukon. Traded on both the New York and London Stock Exchanges, Carnival Corporation & plc is the only group in the world to be included in both the S&P 500 and the FTSE 100 indices.

Cautionary Note Concerning Factors That May Affect Future Results

Some of the statements, estimates or projections contained in this earnings release are "forward-looking statements" that involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions with respect to Carnival Corporation & plc, including some statements concerning future results, outlooks, plans, goals and other events which have not yet occurred. These statements are intended to qualify for the safe harbors from liability provided by Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. We have tried, whenever possible, to identify these statements by using words like "will," "may," "could," "should," "would," "believe," "expect," "anticipate," "forecast," "future," "intend," "plan," "estimate" and similar expressions of future intent or the negative of such terms. Because forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, there are many factors that could cause Carnival Corporation & plc's actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those expressed or implied in this earnings release. Forward-looking statements include those statements which may impact, among other things, the forecasting of Carnival Corporation and plc's earnings per share, net revenue yields, booking levels, pricing, occupancy, operating, financing and/or tax costs, fuel expenses, costs per available lower berth day, estimates of ship depreciable lives and residual values, liquidity, goodwill and trademark fair values, outlook or business prospects. These factors include, but are not limited to, the following: general economic and business conditions, including fuel price increases, high unemployment rates, and declines in the securities, real estate and other markets, and perceptions of these conditions may adversely impact the levels of Carnival Corporation & plc's potential vacationers' discretionary income and net worth and this group's confidence in their country's economy; fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates, particularly the strengthening of the U.S. dollar against the euro and sterling; the international political climate, armed conflicts, terrorist and pirate attacks and threats thereof, and other world events affecting the safety and security of travel; conditions in the cruise and land-based vacation industries, including competition from other cruise ship operators and providers of other vacation alternatives and overcapacity offered by cruise ship and land-based vacation alternatives; accidents, the spread of contagious diseases, adverse weather conditions or natural disasters, such as hurricanes and earthquakes, and other incidents (including, but not limited to, ship fires and machinery and equipment failures or improper operation thereof), which could cause, among other things, individual or multiple port closures, injury, death, alteration of cruise itineraries or cancellation of a cruise or series of cruises or tours; adverse publicity concerning the cruise industry in general, or Carnival Corporation & plc in particular; lack of acceptance of new itineraries, products and services by Carnival Corporation & plc's guests; changing consumer preferences; changes in and compliance with laws and regulations relating to employment, environmental, health, safety, security, tax and other regulatory regimes under which Carnival Corporation & plc operate; increases in global fuel demand and pricing, fuel supply disruptions and/or other events on Carnival Corporation & plc fuel and other expenses, liquidity and credit ratings; increases in Carnival Corporation plc's future fuel expenses from implementing approved International Maritime Organization regulations, which require the use of higher priced low sulfur fuels in certain cruising areas, including the proposed establishment of a U.S./ Canadian Emissions Control Area ("ECA"), which will, if established, significantly affect the quality and price of fuel that ships will be required to burn within this ECA; changes in financing and operating costs, including changes in interest rates and food, insurance, payroll and security costs; the ability of Carnival Corporation & plc to implement its shipbuilding programs and ship maintenance, repairs and refurbishments, including ordering additional ships for its cruise brands from European shipyards, on terms that are favorable or consistent with Carnival Corporation & plc's expectations; Carnival Corporation & plc's ability to implement its brand strategies and to continue to operate and expand its business internationally; whether Carnival Corporation & plc's future operating cash flow will be sufficient to fund future obligations and whether it will be able to obtain financing, if necessary, in sufficient amounts and on terms that are favorable or consistent with its expectations; Carnival Corporation & plc's ability to attract and retain qualified shipboard crew and maintain good relations with employee unions; continuing financial viability of Carnival Corporation & plc's travel agent distribution system, air service providers and cruise shipyards and their subcontractors; availability and pricing of air travel services, especially as a result of significant increases in air travel costs; changes in the global credit markets on Carnival Corporation & plc's counterparty risks, including those associated with its cash equivalents, committed financing facilities, contingent obligations, derivative instruments, insurance contracts and new ship progress payment guarantees; Carnival Corporation & plc's decisions to self-insure against various risks or its inability to obtain insurance for certain risks at reasonable rates; disruptions and other damages to Carnival Corporation & plc's information technology networks; lack of continuing availability of attractive, convenient and safe port destinations; and risks associated with the dual listed company structure, including the uncertainty of its tax status. Forward-looking statements should not be relied upon as a prediction of actual results. Subject to any continuing obligations under applicable law or any relevant listing rules, Carnival Corporation & plc expressly disclaim any obligation to disseminate, after the date of this release, any updates or revisions to any such forward-looking statements to reflect any change in expectations or events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statements are based.

                             CARNIVAL CORPORATION & PLC

                                   Three Months Ended      Nine Months Ended
                                       August 31,              August 31,
                                    2009       2008          2009      2008
                                    -----      -----         -----    -----
                                     (in millions, except per share data)

          Passenger tickets        $3,105     $3,658        $7,566   $8,684
          Onboard and other           825        864         2,132    2,309
       Other                          209        292           253      351
                                    -----      -----         -----    -----
                                    4,139      4,814         9,951   11,344
                                    -----      -----         -----   ------
    Costs and Expenses
              transportation and
              other                   515        660         1,469    1,743
             Onboard and other        131        134           345      380
             Payroll and related      387        381         1,105    1,106
             Fuel                     327        529           778    1,346
             Food                     223        231           624      648
             Other ship operating     498        505         1,444    1,428
          Other                       145        194           196      256
                                    -----      -----         -----    -----
          Total                     2,226      2,634         5,961    6,907
       Selling and administrative     381        372(a)      1,166    1,222
       Depreciation and amortization  336        323           964      936
                                    -----      -----         -----    -----
                                    2,943      3,329         8,091    9,065
                                    -----      -----         -----    -----

    Operating Income                1,196      1,485         1,860    2,279
                                    -----      -----         -----    -----

    Nonoperating (Expense) Income
       Interest income                  4          8            10       30
       Interest expense, net of
        capitalized interest          (95)      (108)         (281)    (308)
       Other (expense) income, net     (8)                      16(b)     6
                                    -----      -----         -----    -----
                                      (99)      (100)         (255)    (272)
                                    -----      -----         -----    -----
    Income Before Income Taxes      1,097      1,385         1,605    2,007

    Income Tax Expense, Net           (24)(c)    (52)(a)(c)     (8)     (48)
                                    -----      -----         -----    -----

    Net Income                     $1,073     $1,333        $1,597   $1,959
                                    =====      =====         =====    =====

    Earnings Per Share
       Basic                        $1.36      $1.70         $2.03    $2.49
                                    =====      =====         =====    =====
       Diluted                      $1.33      $1.65         $2.00    $2.43
                                    =====      =====         =====    =====

    Dividends Declared Per Share               $0.40                  $1.20
                                               =====                  =====

    Weighted-Average Shares
     Outstanding - Basic              787        786           787      786
                                    =====      =====         =====    =====
    Weighted-Average Shares
     Outstanding - Diluted            809        814           809      818
                                    =====      =====         =====    =====

    (a) Includes a $26 million gain from insurance settlement and
        a $7 million related income tax expense.
    (b) Includes a $15 million gain from the unwinding of a lease out and
        lease back type transaction.
    (c) Includes a $10 million income tax benefit in 2009 and a $6 million
        income tax expense in 2008 related to changes in uncertain income tax
        position liabilities.

                           CARNIVAL CORPORATION & PLC
                           CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS

                                        August 31,  November 30,  August 31,
                                           2009         2008         2008
                                          -----        -----        -----
                                         (in millions, except par values)

    Current Assets
        Cash and cash equivalents           $976        $650        $792
        Trade and other receivables, net     476         418         642
        Inventories                          309         315         365
        Prepaid expenses and other           337         267         254
                                             ---         ---         ---
           Total current assets            2,098       1,650       2,053
                                           -----       -----       -----

    Property and Equipment, Net           28,882      26,457      27,735

    Goodwill                               3,402       3,266       3,500

    Trademarks                             1,332       1,294       1,359

    Other Assets                             645         733         631
                                             ---         ---         ---
                                         $36,359     $33,400     $35,278
                                         =======     =======     =======

    Current Liabilities
        Short-term borrowings               $199        $256         $63
        Current portion of
         long-term debt                    1,264       1,081         888
        Convertible debt subject
         to current put options              278         271         232
        Accounts payable                     612         512         505
        Accrued liabilities and other        886       1,142       1,224
        Customer deposits                  2,536       2,519       2,917
                                           -----       -----       -----
             Total current liabilities     5,775       5,781       5,829
                                           -----       -----       -----

    Long-Term Debt                         8,373       7,735       8,345

    Other Long-Term
     Liabilities and Deferred
     Income                                  651         786         783

    Shareholders' Equity
         Common stock of Carnival
          Corporation; $0.01 par
          value; 1,960 shares authorized;
          644 shares at 2009 and 643 shares
          at 2008 issued                       6           6           6
         Ordinary shares of
          Carnival plc; $1.66 par
          value; 226 shares authorized;
          213 shares at 2009 and 2008
          issued                             354         354         354
         Additional paid-in capital        7,695       7,677       7,666
         Retained earnings                15,577      13,980      13,925
         Accumulated other
          comprehensive income (loss)        199        (623)        666
         Treasury stock; 20 shares
          at 2009 and 19 shares at
          2008 of Carnival Corporation
          and 51 shares at 2009 and 52
          shares at November 2008 and
          51 shares at August 2008 of
          Carnival plc, at cost           (2,271)     (2,296)     (2,296)
                                         -------     -------     -------
              Total shareholders' equity  21,560      19,098      20,321
                                          ------      ------      ------
                                         $36,359     $33,400     $35,278
                                         =======     =======     =======

                              CARNIVAL CORPORATION & PLC
                                 SELECTED INFORMATION

                                     Three Months Ended  Nine Months Ended
                                           August 31,       August 31,
                                         2009    2008     2009     2008
                                        -----   -----    -----    -----
                              (in millions, except statistical information)

          Passengers carried (in
           thousands)                   2,485   2,322   6,383    6,218
          Occupancy percentage          111.4%  110.9%  106.4%   106.8%
          Fuel consumption (metric
           tons in thousands)             807     795   2,359    2,383
          Fuel cost per metric ton (a)   $405    $666    $330     $565
             U.S. dollar to (euro) 1    $1.41   $1.54   $1.37    $1.53
             U.S. dollar to (pound) 1   $1.64   $1.95   $1.53    $1.97

         Cash from operations          $1,189  $1,064  $2,630   $2,879
         Capital expenditures            $446  $1,130  $2,402   $2,723
         Dividends paid                          $315    $314     $945

              Cruise                   $3,930  $4,522  $9,698  $10,993
              Other                       312     399     373      478
              Intersegment elimination   (103)   (107)   (120)    (127)
                                        -----   -----   -----    -----
                                       $4,139  $4,814  $9,951  $11,344
                                       ======  ======  ======  =======

          Operating expenses
              Cruise                   $2,081  $2,440  $5,765   $6,651
              Other                       248     301     316      383
              Intersegment elimination   (103)   (107)   (120)    (127)
                                        -----   -----   -----    -----
                                       $2,226  $2,634  $5,961   $6,907
                                       ======  ======  ======   ======

          Selling and administrative
              Cruise                     $372    $364  $1,142   $1,197
              Other                         9       8      24       25
                                          ---     ---     ---      ---
                                         $381    $372  $1,166   $1,222
                                         ====    ====  ======   ======

          Depreciation and amortization
              Cruise                     $327    $314    $937     $909
              Other                         9       9      27       27
                                          ---     ---     ---      ---
                                         $336    $323    $964     $936
                                         ====    ====    ====     ====

          Operating income
              Cruise                   $1,150  $1,404  $1,854   $2,236
              Other                        46      81       6       43
                                          ---     ---     ---      ---
                                       $1,196  $1,485  $1,860   $2,279
                                       ======  ======  ======   ======

    (a)  Fuel cost per metric ton is calculated by dividing the cost of our
    fuel by the number of metric tons consumed.

                            CARNIVAL CORPORATION & PLC
                            NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES

    Gross and net revenue yields were computed by dividing the gross or net
    revenues, without rounding, by ALBDs as follows:

                                Three Months Ended      Nine Months Ended
                                    August 31,              August 31,
                                2009         2008        2009        2008
                               -----        -----       -----       -----

                                  (in millions, except ALBDs and yields)

    Cruise revenues
        Passenger tickets       $3,105      $3,658      $7,566      $8,684
        Onboard and other          825         864       2,132       2,309
                                   ---         ---       -----       -----
    Gross cruise
     revenues                    3,930       4,522       9,698      10,993
    Less cruise costs
         transportation and
         other                    (515)       (660)     (1,469)     (1,743)
        Onboard and other         (131)       (134)       (345)       (380)
                                 -----       -----       -----       -----
    Net cruise revenues (a)     $3,284      $3,728      $7,884      $8,870
                                ======      ======      ======      ======

    ALBDs (b)               16,241,798  15,392,070  46,063,860  44,034,240
                            ==========  ==========  ==========  ==========

    Gross revenue yields (a)   $241.99     $293.82     $210.54     $249.65
                               =======     =======     =======     =======

    Net revenue yields (a)     $202.21     $242.27     $171.16     $201.45
                               =======     =======     =======     =======

    Gross and net cruise costs per ALBD were computed by dividing the gross or
    net cruise costs, without rounding, by ALBDs as follows:

                                   Three Months Ended      Nine Months Ended
                                         August 31,            August 31,
                                     2009        2008        2009        2008
                                    -----       -----       -----       -----
                               (in millions, except ALBDs and costs per ALBD)

    Cruise operating
     expenses                      $2,081      $2,440      $5,765      $6,651
    Cruise selling
     and administrative
     expenses                         372         364       1,142       1,197
                                      ---         ---       -----       -----
    Gross cruise costs              2,453       2,804       6,907       7,848
       Less cruise costs
        included in net
        cruise revenues
               and other             (515)       (660)     (1,469)     (1,743)
              Onboard and
               other                 (131)       (134)       (345)       (380)
                                    -----       -----       -----       -----
    Net cruise costs (a)           $1,807      $2,010      $5,093      $5,725
                                   ======      ======      ======      ======

    ALBDs (b)                  16,241,798  15,392,070  46,063,860  44,034,240
                               ==========  ==========  ==========  ==========

    Gross cruise
     costs per ALBD (a)           $151.07     $182.17     $149.96     $178.23
                                  =======     =======     =======     =======

    Net cruise
     costs per ALBD (a)           $111.29     $130.62     $110.57     $130.03
                                  =======     =======     =======     =======


(a) We use net cruise revenues per ALBD ("net revenue yields") and net cruise costs per ALBD as significant non-GAAP financial measures of our cruise segment financial performance. These measures enable us to separate the impact of predictable capacity changes from the more unpredictable rate changes that affect our business. We believe these non-GAAP measures provide a better gauge to measure our revenue and cost performance instead of the standard U.S. GAAP-based financial measures. There are no specific rules for determining our non-GAAP financial measures and, accordingly, it is possible that they may not be exactly comparable to the like-kind information presented by other cruise companies, which is a potential risk associated with using them to compare us to other cruise companies.

Net revenue yields are commonly used in the cruise industry to measure a company's cruise segment revenue performance and for revenue management purposes. We use "net cruise revenues" rather than "gross cruise revenues" to calculate net revenue yields. We believe that net cruise revenues is a more meaningful measure in determining revenue yield than gross cruise revenues because it reflects the cruise revenues earned net of our most significant variable costs, which are travel agent commissions, cost of air transportation and certain other variable direct costs associated with onboard and other revenues. Substantially all of our remaining cruise costs are largely fixed, except for the impact of changing prices, once our ship capacity levels have been determined.

Net cruise costs per ALBD is the most significant measure we use to monitor our ability to control our cruise segment costs rather than gross cruise costs per ALBD. We exclude the same variable costs that are included in the calculation of net cruise revenues to calculate net cruise costs to avoid duplicating these variable costs in these two non-GAAP financial measures.

We have not provided estimates of future gross revenue yields or future gross cruise costs per ALBD because the reconciliations of forecasted net cruise revenues to forecasted gross cruise revenues or forecasted net cruise costs to forecasted cruise operating expenses would require us to forecast, with reasonable accuracy, the amount of air and other transportation costs that our forecasted cruise passengers would elect to purchase from us (the "air/sea mix"). Since the forecasting of future air/sea mix involves several significant variables that are relatively difficult to forecast and the revenues from the sale of air and other transportation approximate the costs of providing that transportation, management focuses primarily on forecasts of net cruise revenues and costs rather than gross cruise revenues and costs. This does not impact, in any material respect, our ability to forecast our future results, as any variation in the air/sea mix has no material impact on our forecasted net cruise revenues or forecasted net cruise costs. As such, management does not believe that this reconciling information would be meaningful.

In addition, because a significant portion of Carnival Corporation & plc's operations utilize the euro or sterling to measure their results and financial condition, the translation of those operations to our U.S. dollar reporting currency results in decreases in reported U.S. dollar revenues and expenses if the U.S. dollar strengthens against these foreign currencies, and increases in reported U.S. dollar revenues and expenses if the U.S. dollar weakens against these foreign currencies. Accordingly, we also monitor and report our two non-GAAP financial measures assuming the current period currency exchange rates have remained constant with the prior year's comparable period rates, or on a "constant dollar basis," in order to remove the impact of changes in exchange rates on our non-U.S. dollar cruise operations. We believe that this is a useful measure since it facilitates a comparative view of the growth of our business in a fluctuating currency exchange rate environment.

On a constant dollar basis, net cruise revenues and net cruise costs would be $3.5 billion and $1.9 billion for the three months ended August 31, 2009 and $8.4 billion and $5.4 billion for the nine months ended August 31, 2009, respectively. On a constant dollar basis, gross cruise revenues and gross cruise costs would be $4.1 billion and $2.6 billion for the three months ended August 31, 2009 and $10.4 billion and $7.4 billion for the nine months ended August 31, 2009, respectively. In addition, our non-U.S. dollar cruise operations' depreciation and net interest expense were impacted by the changes in exchange rates for the three and nine months ended August 31, 2009, compared to the prior year's comparable periods.

(b) ALBDs is a standard measure of passenger capacity for the period, which we use to perform rate and capacity variance analyses to determine the main non-capacity driven factors that cause our cruise revenues and expenses to vary. ALBDs assume that each cabin we offer for sale accommodates two passengers and is computed by multiplying passenger capacity by revenue-producing ship operating days in the period.

SOURCE Carnival Corporation

"Safe Harbor" Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995: Statements in this press release regarding Carnival Corporation (PR)'s business which are not historical facts are "forward-looking statements" that involve risks and uncertainties. For a discussion of such risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ from those contained in the forward-looking statements, see "Risk Factors" in the Company's Annual Report or Form 10-K for the most recently ended fiscal year.