News Release
| Cincinnati Financial Reports Fourth-quarter and Full-year 2007 Results |
CINCINNATI, Feb. 6 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Cincinnati Financial Corporation (Nasdaq: CINF) today reported:
Financial Highlights
(Dollars in millions Three months ended
except share data) December 31,
2007 2006 Change %
Revenue Highlights
Earned premiums $ 809 $ 830 (2.5)
Investment income 157 145 8.5
Total revenues 983 992 (0.9)
Income Statement Data
Net income $ 187 $ 130 43.2
Net realized investment
gains and losses 8 8 (4.7)
Operating income* $ 179 $ 122 46.4
Per Share Data (diluted)
Net income $ 1.11 $ 0.75 48.0
Net realized investment
gains and losses 0.04 0.05 (20.0)
Operating income* $ 1.07 $ 0.70 52.9
Book value
Cash dividend declared $ 0.355 $ 0.335 6.0
Weighted average
shares outstanding 168,163,752 174,988,162 (3.9)
Twelve months ended
December 31,
2007 2006 Change %
Revenue Highlights
Earned premiums $ 3,250 $ 3,270 (0.6)
Investment income 608 570 6.6
Total revenues 4,259 4,542 (6.2)
Income Statement Data
Net income $ 855 $ 930 (8.0)
Net realized investment
gains and losses 245 434 (43.5)
Operating income* $ 610 $ 496 23.1
Per Share Data (diluted)
Net income $ 4.97 $ 5.30 (6.2)
Net realized investment
gains and losses 1.43 2.48 (42.3)
Operating income* $ 3.54 $ 2.82 25.5
Book value $ 35.70 $ 39.38 (9.3)
Cash dividend declared $ 1.42 $ 1.34 6.0
Weighted average
shares outstanding 172,167,452 175,451,341 (1.9)
Insurance Operations Highlights
Investment and Balance Sheet Highlights
Full-year 2008 Outlook**
* The Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures on Page 11 defines and reconciles measures presented in this release that are not based on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles or Statutory Accounting Principles. ** Forward-looking statements and related assumptions are subject to the risks outlined in the company's safe-harbor statement (see Page 8). Challenging Property Casualty Insurance Environment Chairman and Chief Executive Officer John J. Schiff, Jr., CPCU, commented, "We continue to see the benefits of our agency-centered approach, with local market decision making that creates agent and policyholder loyalty through all stages of the insurance pricing cycle. We credit those relationships with contributing to 2007's strong results. Further, our policyholders' catastrophe losses were at the lowest level since 1997 and our savings from favorable development on prior period reserves was above our guidance. We expect these measures to return to more normal levels in the future." Schiff added, "Our commercial lines premiums continue to reflect reduced pricing due to increased competition. As well, we are seeing economic pressure in some regions and on some types of business, which affects our policyholders' revenues or payrolls and is a factor in the premiums calculated for certain business policies. We have performed well under these types of tough commercial lines market conditions in the past. Our approach - supporting our agents' strong local advantages through our team of field representatives and headquarters associates - gives us unique strengths to succeed. The local knowledge of our agents and field associates helps us carefully underwrite accounts, selecting only the commercial business that appears to be appropriately priced relative to the risk we would assume." Schiff noted, "Likewise, the marketplace is competitive for personal lines in many regions. Lower new and renewal premiums per policy have reduced our personal lines net written premiums. We are addressing our competitive position so we can resume growing in personal lines. We continue to refine our rates, building on the changes we made in mid-2006 to the structure of our premium credits. Those changes better positioned our agencies to sell the value of our homeowner and personal auto policies. As a result, policy retention rates remain above 90 percent and new personal lines business continues to grow. Another way in which we hope to grow is by making our personal lines products available over the next two years in states where agents currently market only our commercial lines products." Long-term Investment in Property Casualty Business James E. Benoski, vice chairman, chief insurance officer and president, said, "2007 marked our first agency appointments and first commercial lines policies in Washington and New Mexico, the 33rd and 34th states where we actively market property casualty insurance." Benoski added, "Across our established states, Cincinnati has earned a generous share of each agency's business over the years by offering the products and services agents need to protect their local businesses and families. Our agents have indicated their desire to have Cincinnati available as a market for commercial accounts that require the flexibility of excess and surplus lines coverage. Preparations that began in early 2007 for our excess and surplus lines operations concluded on schedule in December. Our new subsidiary, The Cincinnati Specialty Underwriters Insurance Company, received an A (Excellent) rating from A.M. Best Co., an independent provider of insurer ratings. They began 2008 by successfully issuing the first surplus lines policies from the new policy administration system. "In addition to growing with our current agencies, we also continue to build new relationships, making agency appointments within our current marketing territories and recently opened states. In total, we completed 66 agency appointments in 2007, including 50 that were new relationships. With many more in the pipeline, we are targeting another 65 appointments in 2008. New appointments, net of other changes in our agency relationships, brought total reporting agency locations to 1,327 at year-end 2007, compared with 1,289 at year-end 2006." 2007 Property Casualty Combined Ratio Kenneth W. Stecher, chief financial officer and executive vice president, said, "Cincinnati's overall profitability for the fourth quarter and full year was excellent and improved from last year's levels. Results for both the quarter and year benefited from very low catastrophe losses and savings from favorable development on prior period reserves above our guidance. In contrast, the industry's full-year 2007 combined ratio is expected to rise to approximately 95.6 percent, including 1.7 percentage points from catastrophe losses, from 92.4 percent, including 2.1 percentage points from catastrophe losses, in 2006. Stecher noted, "We did experience a rise in the current accident year loss ratio excluding catastrophe losses. We believe two factors were largely responsible. First, current market conditions and softer pricing are hampering profitability. Second, there are instances when losses from weather events can be significant for some carriers, but not rise to the level where Property Claims Services tracks industrywide losses and designates the events as insurance catastrophes. We believe that was the case for us in 2007, with non-catastrophe weather-related losses adding about 1 percentage point more to our loss ratio than in 2006." 2008 Property Casualty Outlook Update Stecher commented, "If current commercial lines pricing trends continue into 2008, our net written premiums could decline as much as 5 percent. We believe our GAAP combined ratio could be between 96 percent and 98 percent, as we meet the needs of our agencies while managing for long-term profitability. Industry full-year 2008 net written premiums are expected to decline 0.6 percent with the combined ratio rising to 98.6 percent." Stecher observed that the combined ratio target relies on three assumptions:
Stecher added, "We believe the level of performance we have targeted will allow us to sustain our industry leading position in the commercial lines insurance marketplace. We plan to take steps in our personal lines insurance operations to enhance our response to the changing marketplace. And finally, we look for our life insurance business to continue to make a solid and growing contribution to our earnings. "Our strong position gives us opportunities to be a market for our agents' best business, giving them market stability and contributing to their success. Further, we believe we can expect a positive contribution from our new excess and surplus lines operations, although our 2008 targets do not take into account any contribution from excess and surplus lines. We are mindful that it will take some time before our excess and surplus lines operation is of sufficient size to materially influence our overall corporate results," Stecher said. Investment Performance Affected by Recent Market Activity Schiff commented, "Our buy-and-hold equity investing strategy has been key to the long-term growth of our assets and shareholders' equity. We identify companies with the potential for sales, earnings and dividend growth, a strong management team and favorable outlook. Over the years, these equities have generally offered a steadily increasing flow of dividend income along with the potential for capital appreciation. "Since mid-2007, the success of this strategy has been interrupted as the financial markets have reflected broad concerns about credit quality, liquidity and the general health of the economy. As we noted in September 2007, uncertainty about the duration and the impact of these issues could significantly influence valuations and the volatility of the markets," Schiff continued. "Five months later, our book value has declined due to the significant drop in market value of our financial sector common stocks, which represent approximately 35 percent of our investment portfolio. To varying degrees, these companies are addressing a challenging credit quality environment and related issues. As a result, they may evaluate their dividend levels in light of their own capital requirements and earnings outlook, potentially slowing our investment income growth. "Providing balance to the challenges of our equity portfolio, our bond portfolio continued to hold steady in the fourth quarter as widening credit spreads were offset by the strong demand in the market for low-risk securities. We believe our investment strategy will continue to allow us to maximize both income and capital appreciation over the long term. We are committed to sustaining the strong capitalization that supports our high insurer financial strength ratings, giving our agents a distinct marketing advantage for their value-oriented clients." Schiff added, "Your company returned $546 million to shareholders in 2007 through cash dividends and a record level of repurchase activity, including the accelerated share repurchase agreement announced in October. At that time, the board of directors expanded its repurchase authorization to communicate to shareholders its confidence in our business and our long-term outlook. The board acted last week to raise the indicated annual dividend rate by 9.9 percent, to $1.56 per share. We expect the board to continue to take actions supporting increased shareholder value over the long term."
Property Casualty Insurance Operations
(Dollars in millions) Three months ended Twelve months ended
December 31, December 31,
2007 2006 Change % 2007 2006 Change %
Written premiums $724 $755 (4.1) $3,117 $3,178 (1.9)
Earned premiums $777 $802 (3.1) $3,125 $3,164 (1.2)
Loss and loss expenses
excluding catastrophes 397 458 (13.3) 1,806 1,833 (1.5)
Catastrophe loss and
loss expenses (2) 44 (104.0) 26 175 (85.1)
Commission expenses 159 144 10.3 599 596 0.4
Underwriting expenses 105 108 (2.3) 375 363 3.2
Policyholder dividends 6 4 41.6 15 16 (5.4)
Underwriting profit $112 $44 153.4 $304 $181 68.3
Ratios as a percent of
earned premiums:
Loss and loss expenses
excluding catastrophes 51.1% 57.1% 57.8% 58.0%
Catastrophe loss and
loss expenses (0.2) 5.5 0.8 5.5
Loss and loss expenses 50.9% 62.6% 58.6% 63.5%
Commission expenses 20.5 18.0 19.2 18.8
Underwriting expenses 13.4 13.3 12.0 11.5
Policyholder dividends 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.5
Combined ratio 85.6% 94.5% 90.3% 94.3%
2008 Reinsurance Program
Treaties Retention Summary Comments
Property For any one event, -- After reinsurance, our
catastrophe retain losses of: maximum exposure to a
-- 100% of first $45 million catastrophic event that
-- 43% between $45 million caused $500 million in
and $70 million covered losses would be
-- 5% between $70 million $105 million compared
and $200 million with $103 million in
-- 11% to 19% for layers 2007. The largest
between $200 million and catastrophe loss in
$500 million our history was
$87 million before
reinsurance.
Casualty For a single loss, retain: -- Increased casualty
per risk -- 100% of first $5 million treaty retention to
-- 0% between $5 million and $5 million from
$25 million $4 million
-- Obtain facultative
reinsurance above $25 million
Property For a single loss, retain: -- No changes in 2008
per risk -- 100% of first $4 million
-- 0% between $4 million
and $25 million
-- Obtain facultative
reinsurance above $25 million
Casualty third -- $25 million excess -- No changes in 2008
excess of $25 million
Casualty fourth -- $20 million excess -- No changes in 2008
excess of $50 million
Insurance Segment Highlights
Commercial Lines Insurance Operations
(Dollars in millions) Three months ended Twelve months ended
December 31, December 31,
2007 2006 Change % 2007 2006 Change %
Written premiums $562 $589 (4.6) $2,413 $2,442 (1.2)
Earned premiums $601 $619 (3.0) $2,411 $2,402 0.4
Loss and loss expenses
excluding catastrophes 310 357 (13.2) 1,378 1,377 0.1
Catastrophe loss and loss
expenses 0 11 nm 16 89 (81.3)
Commission expenses 123 113 9.2 454 444 2.0
Underwriting expenses 86 79 8.7 287 268 7.0
Policyholder dividends 6 4 41.6 15 16 (5.4)
Underwriting profit $76 $55 38.1 $261 $208 25.4
Ratios as a percent of
earned premiums:
Loss and loss expenses
excluding catastrophes 51.5% 57.6% 57.2% 57.3%
Catastrophe loss and loss
expenses 0.0 1.9 0.7 3.7
Loss and loss expenses 51.5% 59.5% 57.9% 61.0%
Commission expenses 20.6 18.3 18.8 18.5
Underwriting expenses 14.1 12.6 11.9 11.1
Policyholder dividends 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.7
Combined ratio 87.3% 91.1% 89.2% 91.3%
Personal Lines Insurance Operations
(Dollars in millions) Three months ended Twelve months ended
December 31, December 31,
2007 2006 Change % 2007 2006 Change %
Written premiums $162 $166 (2.3) $704 $736 (4.4)
Earned premiums $176 $183 (3.7) $714 $762 (6.3)
Loss and loss expenses
excluding catastrophes 87 101 (13.9) 428 456 (6.2)
Catastrophe loss
and loss expenses (2) 33 (105.3) 10 86 (89.0)
Commission expenses 36 31 14.1 145 152 (4.4)
Underwriting expenses 19 29 (32.5) 88 95 (7.5)
Underwriting profit $36 $(11) 426.3 $43 $(27) 260.9
(loss)
Ratios as a percent of
earned premiums:
Loss and loss expenses
excluding
catastrophes 49.6% 55.5% 60.0% 59.9%
Catastrophe loss
and loss expenses (1.0) 17.9 1.3 11.3
Loss and loss
expenses 48.6% 73.4% 61.3% 71.2%
Commission expenses 20.1 16.9 20.3 19.9
Underwriting
expenses 11.0 15.7 12.3 12.5
Combined ratio 79.7% 106.0% 93.9% 103.6%
Life Insurance Operations
(in millions) Three months ended Twelve months ended
December 31, December 31,
2007 2006 Change % 2007 2006 Change %
Written premiums $41 $41 (0.1) $167 $161 3.2
Earned premiums $32 $29 11.0 $125 $107 17.4
Investment income, net of
expenses 30 27 10.2 115 108 6.3
Other income 1 1 (1.0) 4 3 25.1
Total revenues, excluding
realized investment gains
and losses 63 57 10.4 244 218 12.0
Policyholder benefits 35 30 15.0 133 122 9.2
Expenses 15 16 (6.8) 52 43 20.1
Total benefits and
expenses 50 46 7.6 185 165 12.0
Net income before income
tax and realized investment
gains and losses 13 11 22.8 59 53 12.1
Income tax 4 4 17.9 20 19 5.2
Net income before realized
investment gains and losses $9 $7 25.3 $39 $34 15.9
Investment and Balance Sheet Highlights
Investment Operations
(in millions) Three months ended Twelve months ended
December 31, December 31,
2007 2006 Change % 2007 2006 Change %
Investment income:
Interest $79 $75 4.4 $308 $300 2.5
Dividends 75 68 10.4 294 262 12.1
Other 4 4 0.8 15 15 (0.5)
Investment expenses (1) (2) 96.9 (9) (7) (18.7)
Total investment
income, net
of expenses 157 145 8.5 608 570 6.6
Investment interest credited
to contract holders (14) (14) (5.6) (57) (54) (5.1)
Realized investment gains and
losses summary:
Realized investment gains
and losses 38 11 254.0 409 678 (39.6)
Change in fair value of
securities with embedded
derivatives (12) 2 (933.2) (11) 7 (263.6)
Other-than-temporary
impairment charges (14) 0 nm (16) (1)(1,872.5)
Total realized
investment gains
and losses 12 13 (2.0) 382 684 (44.1)
Investment operations income $155 $144 7.9 $933 $1,200 (22.2)
(Dollars in millions except At At
share data) December 31, December 31,
2007 2006
Balance sheet data
Invested assets $ 12,261 $ 13,759
Total assets 16,637 17,222
Short-term debt 69 49
Long-term debt 791 791
Shareholders' equity 5,929 6,808
Book value per share 35.70 39.38
Debt-to-capital ratio 12.7% 11.0%
Three months ended Twelve months ended
December 31, December 31,
2007 2006 2007 2006
Performance measures
Comprehensive income $(404) $449 $(376) $1,057
Return on equity,
annualized 12.0% 7.9% 13.4% 14.4%
Return on equity,
annualized, based on
comprehensive income (25.9) 27.0 (5.9) 16.4
For additional information or to register for this morning's conference call webcast, please visit www.cinfin.com/investors . This is our "Safe Harbor" statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Our business is subject to certain risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements in this report. Some of those risks and uncertainties are discussed in our 2006 Annual Report on Form 10-K, Item 1A, Risk Factors, Page 20. Although we often review or update our forward-looking statements when events warrant, we caution our readers that we undertake no obligation to do so. Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to:
Further, the company's insurance businesses are subject to the effects of changing social, economic and regulatory environments. Public and regulatory initiatives have included efforts to adversely influence and restrict premium rates, restrict the ability to cancel policies, impose underwriting standards and expand overall regulation. The company also is subject to public and regulatory initiatives that can affect the market value for its common stock, such as recent measures affecting corporate financial reporting and governance. The ultimate changes and eventual effects, if any, of these initiatives are uncertain.
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Consolidated Balance Sheets
(Dollars in millions except per share data) December 31, December 31,
2007 2006
(unaudited)
ASSETS
Investments
Fixed maturities, at fair value (amortized
cost: 2007-$5,783; 2006-$5,739) $5,848 $5,805
(includes securities pledged to creditors
of $745 at December 31, 2007)
Equity securities, at fair value (cost:
2007-$2,975; 2006-$2,621) 6,249 7,799
Short-term investments, at fair value
(amortized cost: 2007-$101; 2006-$95) 101 95
Other invested assets 63 60
Total investments 12,261 13,759
Cash and cash equivalents 226 202
Securities lending collateral invested 760 0
Investment income receivable 124 121
Finance receivable 92 108
Premiums receivable 1,107 1,128
Reinsurance receivable 754 683
Prepaid reinsurance premiums 13 13
Deferred policy acquisition costs 461 453
Land, building and equipment, net, for company
use (accumulated depreciation:
2007-$276; 2006-$261) 239 193
Other assets 72 58
Separate accounts 528 504
Total assets $ 16,637 $ 17,222
LIABILITIES
Insurance reserves
Loss and loss expense reserves $ 3,967 $ 3,896
Life policy reserves 1,478 1,409
Unearned premiums 1,564 1,579
Securities lending payable 760 0
Other liabilities 574 533
Deferred income tax 977 1,653
Note payable 69 49
6.125% senior notes due 2034 371 371
6.9% senior debentures due 2028 28 28
6.92% senior debentures due 2028 392 392
Separate accounts 528 504
Total liabilities 10,708 10,414
SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
Common stock, par value-$2 per share;
(authorized: 2007-500 million shares,
2006-500 million shares; issued:
2007-196 million shares,
2006-196 million shares) 393 391
Paid-in capital 1,049 1,015
Retained earnings 3,404 2,786
Accumulated other comprehensive income 2,151 3,379
Treasury stock at cost (2007-30 million shares,
2006-23 million shares) (1,068) (763)
Total shareholders' equity 5,929 6,808
Total liabilities and shareholders'
equity $ 16,637 $ 17,222
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Consolidated Statements of Income
(In millions except Three months ended Twelve months ended
per share data) December 31, December 31,
2007 2006 2007 2006
(unaudited) (unaudited)
REVENUES
Earned premiums
Property casualty $ 777 $ 802 $ 3,125 $ 3,163
Life 32 29 125 107
Investment income, net of
expenses 157 145 608 570
Realized investment gains
and losses 12 12 382 684
Other income 5 4 19 18
Total revenues 983 992 4,259 4,542
BENEFITS AND EXPENSES
Insurance losses and
policyholder benefits 430 532 1,963 2,128
Commissions 164 150 624 622
Other operating expenses 96 100 362 354
Taxes, licenses and fees 18 19 75 77
Increase in deferred policy
acquisition costs 8 5 (9) (21)
Interest expense 13 14 52 53
Total benefits and
expenses 729 820 3,067 3,213
INCOME BEFORE INCOME TAXES 254 172 1,192 1,329
PROVISION (BENEFIT) FOR
INCOME TAXES
Current 71 41 336 404
Deferred (4) 1 1 (5)
Total provision for
income taxes 67 42 337 399
NET INCOME $ 187 $ 130 $ 855 $ 930
PER COMMON SHARE
Net income-basic $ 1.12 $ 0.75 $ 5.01 $ 5.36
Net income-diluted $ 1.11 $ 0.75 $ 4.97 $ 5.30
Cincinnati Financial Corporation offers property and casualty insurance, our main business, through our three standard market companies, The Cincinnati Insurance Company, The Cincinnati Indemnity Company and The Cincinnati Casualty Company. The Cincinnati Specialty Underwriters Insurance Company provides excess and surplus lines property and casualty insurance. The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company markets life and disability income insurance and annuities. CSU Producer Resources Inc., is our excess and surplus lines brokerage, serving the same local independent agencies that offer our standard market policies. CFC Investment Company offers commercial leasing and financing services. CinFin Capital Management Company provides asset management services to institutions, corporations and individuals. For additional information about the company, please visit www.cinfin.com.
Mailing Address: Street Address:
P.O. Box 145496 6200 South Gilmore Road
Cincinnati, Ohio 45250-5496 Fairfield, Ohio 45014-5141
Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and
Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures
(See attached tables for 2007 and 2006 data; prior-period reconciliations available at www.cinfin.com/investors .) Cincinnati Financial Corporation prepares its public financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). Statutory data is prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners' (NAIC) Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual and therefore is not reconciled to GAAP data. Management uses certain non-GAAP and non-statutory financial measures to evaluate its primary business areas - property casualty insurance, life insurance and investments - when analyzing both GAAP and certain non-GAAP measures may improve understanding of trends in the underlying business, helping avoid incorrect or misleading assumptions and conclusions about the success or failure of company strategies. Management adjustments to GAAP measures generally: apply to non-recurring events that are unrelated to business performance and distort short-term results; involve values that fluctuate based on events outside of management's control; or relate to accounting refinements that affect comparability between periods, creating a need to analyze data on the same basis.
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Quarterly Net Income Reconciliation
(In millions except per share data) Three months ended
12/31/07 9/30/07 6/30/07 3/31/07
Net income $187 $124 $351 $194
Net realized investment gains
and losses 8 10 187 41
Operating income 179 114 164 153
Less catastrophe losses 1 (9) (7) (2)
Operating income before
catastrophe losses $178 $123 $171 $155
Diluted per share data
Net income $1.11 $0.72 $2.02 $1.11
Net realized investment gains
and losses 0.04 0.06 1.08 0.23
Operating income 1.07 0.66 0.94 0.88
Less catastrophe losses 0.01 (0.05) (0.04) (0.01)
Operating income before
catastrophe losses $1.06 $0.71 $0.98 $0.89
Three months ended
12/31/06 9/30/06 6/30/06 3/31/06
Net income $130 $115 $132 $552
Net realized investment gains
and losses 8 - 6 421
Operating income 122 115 126 131
Less catastrophe losses (29) (18) (41) (26)
Operating income before
catastrophe losses $151 $133 $167 $157
Diluted per share data
Net income $0.75 $0.66 $0.76 $3.13
Net realized investment gains
and losses 0.05 - 0.04 2.39
Operating income 0.70 0.66 0.72 0.74
Less catastrophe losses (0.16) (0.10) (0.24) (0.14)
Operating income before
catastrophe losses $0.86 $0.76 $0.96 $0.88
Six Nine Twelve
months ended months ended months ended
6/30/07 6/30/06 9/30/07 9/30/06 12/31/07 12/31/06
Net income $545 $684 $669 $800 $855 $930
Net realized
investment gains
and losses 228 426 238 427 245 434
Operating income 317 258 431 373 610 496
Less catastrophe
losses (9) (67) (18) (85) (17) (113)
Operating income
before catastrophe
losses $326 $325 $449 $458 $627 $609
Diluted per
share data
Net income $3.13 $3.90 $3.86 $4.56 $4.97 $5.30
Net realized
investment gains
and losses 1.31 2.43 1.37 2.43 1.43 2.48
Operating income 1.82 1.47 2.49 2.13 3.54 2.82
Less catastrophe
losses (0.05) (0.38) (0.10) (0.48) (0.10) (0.65)
Operating income
before catastrophe
losses $1.87 $1.85 $2.59 $2.61 $3.64 $3.47
Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add
due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The
sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed
independently.
Cincinnati Insurance Group
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Consolidated
(Dollars in millions) Three months ended
12/31/07 9/30/07 6/30/07 3/31/07
Premiums
Adjusted written premiums
(statutory) $749 $779 $808 $811
Written premium adjustment -
statutory only (25) (43) 2 35
Reported written premiums
(statutory)* $724 $736 $810 $846
Unearned premiums change 53 41 (23) (61)
Earned premiums $777 $777 $787 $785
Statutory combined ratio
Statutory combined ratio 87.8% 98.7% 87.7% 87.7%
Less catastrophe losses (0.3) 1.7 1.4 0.4
Statutory combined ratio
excluding catastrophe losses 88.1% 97.0% 86.3% 87.3%
Commission expense ratio 23.1% 18.1% 18.1% 18.0%
Other expense ratio 13.9 13.2 11.7 11.4
Statutory expense ratio 37.0% 31.3% 29.8% 29.4%
GAAP combined ratio
GAAP combined ratio 85.6% 97.3% 88.6% 89.6%
Cincinnati Insurance Group
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Consolidated
(Dollars in millions) Three months ended
12/31/06 9/30/06 6/30/06 3/31/06
Premiums
Adjusted written premiums
(statutory) $785 $787 $804 $796
Written premium adjustment -
statutory only (30) (7) 10 33
Reported written premiums
(statutory)* $755 $780 $814 $829
Unearned premiums change 47 11 (21) (51)
Earned premiums $802 $791 $793 $778
Statutory combined ratio
Statutory combined ratio 95.9% 96.4% 93.7% 89.6%
Less catastrophe losses 5.5 3.5 8.0 5.0
Statutory combined ratio
excluding catastrophe losses 90.4% 92.9% 85.7% 84.6%
Commission expense ratio 19.9% 19.3% 17.6% 18.2%
Other expense ratio 13.4 11.9 10.8 10.8
Statutory expense ratio 33.3% 31.2% 28.4% 29.0%
GAAP combined ratio
GAAP combined ratio 94.5% 96.1% 94.5% 92.0%
Cincinnati Insurance Group
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Consolidated
(Dollars in millions) Six months ended Nine months ended
6/30/07 6/30/06 9/30/07 9/30/06
Premiums
Adjusted written premiums
(statutory) $1,619 $1,600 $2,398 $2,387
Written premium adjustment -
statutory only 37 43 (6) 36
Reported written premiums
(statutory)* $1,656 $1,643 $2,392 $2,423
Unearned premiums change (85) (72) (44) (61)
Earned premiums $1,571 $1,571 $2,348 $2,362
Statutory combined ratio
Statutory combined ratio 87.7% 91.7% 91.3% 93.2%
Less catastrophe losses 0.9 6.5 1.2 5.5
Statutory combined ratio
excluding catastrophe losses 86.8% 85.2% 90.1% 87.7%
Commission expense ratio 18.0% 17.9% 18.0% 18.3%
Other expense ratio 11.6 10.8 12.1 11.2
Statutory expense ratio 29.6% 28.7% 30.1% 29.5%
GAAP combined ratio
GAAP combined ratio 89.1% 93.3% 91.8% 94.2%
Cincinnati Insurance Group
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Consolidated
(Dollars in millions) Twelve months ended
12/31/07 12/31/06
Premiums
Adjusted written premiums
(statutory) $3,149 $3,172
Written premium adjustment -
statutory only (32) 6
Reported written premiums
(statutory)* $3,117 $3,178
Unearned premiums change 8 (14)
Earned premiums $3,125 $3,164
Statutory combined ratio
Statutory combined ratio 90.3% 93.9%
Less catastrophe losses 0.8 5.5
Statutory combined ratio
excluding catastrophe losses 89.5% 88.4%
Commission expense ratio 19.2% 18.7%
Other expense ratio 12.5 11.7
Statutory expense ratio 31.7% 30.4%
GAAP combined ratio
GAAP combined ratio 90.3% 94.3%
* Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not
add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar
amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as
each is computed independently.
* nm - Not meaningful
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules
as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and
filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.
Cincinnati Insurance Group
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Commercial Lines
(Dollars in millions) Three months ended
12/31/07 9/30/07 6/30/07 3/31/07
Premiums
Adjusted written premiums
(statutory) $586 $587 $611 $658
Written premium adjustment --
statutory only (24) (43) 2 35
Reported written premiums
(statutory)* $562 $544 $613 $693
Unearned premiums change 39 56 (6) (89)
Earned premiums $601 $600 $607 $604
Statutory combined ratio
Statutory combined ratio 89.7% 97.3% 84.4% 86.5%
Less catastrophe losses - 0.2 0.8 1.8
Statutory combined ratio
excluding catastrophe losses 89.7% 97.1% 83.6% 84.7%
GAAP combined ratio
GAAP combined ratio 87.3% 95.4% 85.2% 88.9%
Cincinnati Insurance Group
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Commercial Lines
(Dollars in millions) Three months ended
12/31/06 9/30/06 6/30/06 3/31/06
Premiums
Adjusted written premiums
(statutory) $618 $589 $593 $635
Written premium adjustment --
statutory only (29) (7) 10 33
Reported written premiums
(statutory)* $589 $582 $603 $668
Unearned premiums change 30 20 (4) (86)
Earned premiums $619 $602 $599 $582
Statutory combined ratio
Statutory combined ratio 92.4% 94.1% 89.6% 87.5%
Less catastrophe losses 1.9 2.3 5.6 5.1
Statutory combined ratio
excluding catastrophe losses 90.5% 91.8% 84.0% 82.4%
GAAP combined ratio
GAAP combined ratio 91.1% 93.4% 90.3% 90.5%
Cincinnati Insurance Group
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Commercial Lines
(Dollars in millions) Six months ended Nine months ended
6/30/07 6/30/06 9/30/07 9/30/06
Premiums
Adjusted written premiums
(statutory) $1,269 $1,228 $1,857 $1,817
Written premium adjustment --
statutory only 37 43 (6) 36
Reported written premiums
(statutory)* $1,306 $1,271 $1,851 $1,853
Unearned premiums change (96) (90) (41) (70)
Earned premiums $1,210 $1,181 $1,810 $1,783
Statutory combined ratio
Statutory combined ratio 85.4% 88.6% 89.2% 90.3%
Less catastrophe losses 1.3 5.3 0.9 4.3
Statutory combined ratio
excluding catastrophe losses 84.1% 83.3% 88.3% 86.0%
GAAP combined ratio
GAAP combined ratio 87.0% 90.4% 89.8% 91.4%
Cincinnati Insurance Group
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Commercial Lines
(Dollars in millions) Twelve months ended
12/31/07 12/31/06
Premiums
Adjusted written premiums
(statutory) $2,444 $2,435
Written premium adjustment --
statutory only (31) 7
Reported written premiums
(statutory)* $2,413 $2,442
Unearned premiums change (2) (40)
Earned premiums $2,411 $2,402
Statutory combined ratio
Statutory combined ratio 89.2% 90.8%
Less catastrophe losses 0.6 3.7
Statutory combined ratio
excluding catastrophe losses 88.6% 87.1%
GAAP combined ratio
GAAP combined ratio 89.2% 91.3%
* Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not
add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar
amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as
each is computed independently.
* nm - Not meaningful
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules
as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and
filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.
Cincinnati Insurance Group
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Personal Lines
(Dollars in millions) Three months ended
12/31/07 9/30/07 6/30/07 3/31/07
Premiums
Adjusted written premiums
(statutory) $163 $192 $197 $153
Written premium adjustment --
statutory only (1) - - -
Reported written premiums
(statutory)* $162 $192 $197 $153
Unearned premiums change 14 (15) (17) 28
Earned premiums $176 $177 $180 $181
Statutory combined ratio
Statutory combined ratio 81.4% 103.6% 98.6% 93.5%
Less catastrophe losses (1.0) 7.0 3.5 (4.1)
Statutory combined ratio
excluding catastrophe losses 82.4% 96.6% 95.1% 97.6%
GAAP combined ratio
GAAP combined ratio 79.7% 103.8% 99.9% 92.0%
Cincinnati Insurance Group
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Personal Lines
(Dollars in millions) Three months ended
12/31/06 9/30/06 6/30/06 3/31/06
Premiums
Adjusted written premiums
(statutory) $167 $198 $211 $161
Written premium adjustment --
statutory only (1) - - -
Reported written premiums
(statutory)* $166 $198 $211 $161
Unearned premiums change 17 (9) (17) 35
Earned premiums $183 $189 $194 $196
Statutory combined ratio
Statutory combined ratio 107.7% 104.0% 106.4% 98.1%
Less catastrophe losses 17.9 7.1 15.6 5.0
Statutory combined ratio
excluding catastrophe losses 89.8% 96.9% 90.8% 93.1%
GAAP combined ratio
GAAP combined ratio 106.0% 104.4% 107.6% 96.4%
Cincinnati Insurance Group
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Personal Lines
(Dollars in millions) Six Nine Twelve
months ended months ended months ended
6/30/07 6/30/06 9/30/07 9/30/06 12/31/07 12/31/06
Premiums
Adjusted written
premiums (statutory) $350 $372 $541 $570 $705 $737
Written premium
adjustment --
statutory only - - - - (1) (1)
Reported written
premiums (statutory)* $350 $372 $541 $570 $704 $736
Unearned premiums
change 11 18 (3) 9 10 26
Earned premiums $361 $390 $538 $579 $714 $762
Statutory combined ratio
Statutory combined
ratio 95.8% 101.6% 98.3% 102.3% 94.1% 103.6%
Less catastrophe losses (0.3) 10.3 2.1 9.2 1.3 11.3
Statutory combined
ratio excluding
catastrophe losses 96.1% 91.3% 96.2% 93.1% 92.8% 92.3%
GAAP combined ratio
GAAP combined ratio 96.0% 102.0% 98.6% 102.8% 93.9% 103.6%
* Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not
add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar
amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as
each is computed independently.
* nm - Not meaningful
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules
as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and
filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.
SOURCE Cincinnati Financial Corporation |
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