|FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION FANNIE MAE filed this Form 10-Q on 08/05/2011|
A decrease in the credit ratings on our senior unsecured debt would likely have an adverse effect on our ability to issue debt on reasonable terms and trigger additional collateral requirements.
Our borrowing costs and our access to the debt capital markets depend in large part on the high credit ratings on our senior unsecured debt. Credit ratings on our debt are subject to revision or withdrawal at any time by the rating agencies. Actions by governmental entities impacting the support we receive from Treasury could adversely affect the credit ratings on our senior unsecured debt.
While there have been no changes in our credit ratings from December 31, 2010 to August 2, 2011, on July 15, 2011, S&P placed our long-term and short-term debt ratings on CreditWatch with negative implications, following a similar action on the debt ratings of the U.S. government. A rating being placed on CreditWatch indicates a substantial likelihood of a ratings action by S&P within the next 90 days or is a response to events presenting significant uncertainty to the creditworthiness of an issuer. S&P noted that it placed our long-term and short-term debt on CreditWatch with negative implications due to our direct reliance on the U.S. government. On July 14, 2011, S&P stated that it may lower the long-term debt rating of the U.S. in the next three months if it concludes that Congress and the Administration have not achieved a credible solution to the rising U.S. government debt burden and are not likely to achieve one in the foreseeable future.
On July 13, 2011, Moodys placed both the U.S. governments rating and our long-term debt ratings on review for possible downgrade. Following the raising of the U.S. governments statutory debt limit on August 2, 2011, Moodys confirmed both the U.S. governments rating and our long-term debt ratings, and removed the designation that these ratings were under review for possible downgrade. However, Moodys revised the rating outlook for both the U.S. governments rating and our long-term debt ratings to negative. In assigning the negative outlook to the U.S. governments rating, Moodys indicated there would be a risk of a downgrade if (1) there is a weakening in fiscal discipline in the coming year; (2) further fiscal consolidation measures are not adopted in 2013; (3) the economic outlook deteriorates significantly; or (4) there is an appreciable rise in the U.S. governments funding costs over and above what is currently expected.
S&P, Moodys and Fitch have all indicated that they would likely lower their ratings on the debt of Fannie Mae and certain other government-related entities if they were to lower their ratings on the U.S. government.
We currently cannot predict whether one or more of these rating agencies will downgrade our debt ratings in the future, or how long our ratings will remain subject to review for a possible downgrade by S&P. A reduction in our credit ratings would likely increase our borrowing costs, limit our access to the debt capital markets and trigger additional collateral requirements under our derivatives contracts and other borrowing arrangements. It may also reduce our earnings and materially adversely affect our liquidity, our ability to conduct our normal business operations, our financial condition and results of operations. Our credit ratings and ratings outlook are included in MD&ALiquidity and Capital ManagementLiquidity ManagementCredit Ratings.
Deficiencies in servicer foreclosure processes and the resulting changes in the foreclosure environment could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, financial condition and net worth.
A number of our single-family mortgage servicers temporarily halted foreclosures in the fall of 2010 in some or all states after discovering deficiencies in their processes and the processes of their service providers relating to the execution of affidavits in connection with the foreclosure process. Although servicers have indicated that they have generally lifted their broad, formal foreclosure pauses, the processing of foreclosures continues to be delayed or halted in many states due to continuing issues in the servicer foreclosure process, as well as recent changes in state foreclosure laws and new court rules and proceedings. In addition, court budget cuts in Florida and other states could further delay the processing of foreclosures.