|FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION FANNIE MAE filed this Form 10-Q on 05/06/2011|
Serious Delinquency Rates by Year of Acquisition
In our experience, an early predictor of the ultimate performance of loans is the rate at which the loans become seriously delinquent within a short period of time after acquisition. Loans we acquired in 2009 and 2010 have experienced historically low levels of delinquencies shortly after their acquisition. Table 2 shows, for single-family loans we acquired in each year from 2001 to 2010, the percentage that were seriously delinquent (three or more months past due or in the foreclosure process) as of the end of the first quarter following the acquisition year. Loans we acquired in 2011 are not included in this table because they were originated so recently that they could not yet have become seriously delinquent. As Table 2 shows, the percentage of our 2009 acquisitions that were seriously delinquent as of the end of the first quarter following their acquisition year was more than seven times lower than the average comparable serious delinquency rate for loans acquired in 2005 through 2008. For loans originated in 2010, this percentage was more than nine times lower than the average comparable rate for loans acquired in 2005 through 2008. Table 2 also shows serious delinquency rates for each years acquisitions as of March 31, 2011. Except for the most recent acquisition years, whose serious delinquency rates are likely lower than they will be after the loans have aged, Table 2 shows that the current serious delinquency rate generally tracks the trend of the serious delinquency rate as of the end of the first quarter following the year of acquisition. Below the table we provide information about the economic environment in which the loans were acquired, specifically home price appreciation and unemployment levels.